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Hormuz war risk market enters fragile new phase as ceasefire clock ticks

Two weeks into the 60-day ceasefire between the United States and Iran, the Strait of Hormuz remains far from normal. According to ship-tracking data, just five vessels transited on July 1, 2026, against a pre-crisis daily average of more than 100. War risk pricing remains around eight times pre-crisis levels, while the central transit corridor is still mined.

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